XRP Price Prediction: Bear Market Structure Points to $1.04 Test

XRP has been struggling to hold its ground at $1.10, with every major moving average stacked overhead and momentum flatlined. The path of least resistance points squarely toward a test of $1.04.

The altcoin has experienced a significant drawdown, down 70% from its ATH near $3.65 just twelve months ago. Despite recent attempts to recover, XRP has shed another 47% since the January 2026 bounce.

Technical indicators are not favoring the bulls, with the Stochastic and MACD hinting at a mild curl higher but failing routinely inside established downtrends. The Bollinger Band picture also suggests that gravity will win, with roughly equal measured distance to the upper band at $1.16 and the lower at $1.04.

The market is currently starved of conviction, with 24-hour trading volume of just $27.7 million on Binance spot. This lack of enthusiasm is consistent with broader demand destruction across the altcoin complex.