Cryptocurrency Market Braces for Potential Crashes as $15 Billion in Options Expire
The cryptocurrency market is on high alert as over $15 billion in options expire today, with traders bracing for potential crashes.
According to Deribit data, 189K BTC options with a notional value of $13.38 billion are set to expire, with a put-call ratio of 0.57. The 24-hour put volume is significantly higher than the 24-hour call volume, indicating extreme bearish sentiment among traders.
Data shows that there is a high probability of expiring below the $68,000 strike price for Bitcoin, with 94% odds of it happening at $67,000. Traders are buying put options at $85K and $80K, signaling expectations of a market crash today.
Other cryptocurrencies, including Ethereum (ETH), XRP (XRP), and Solana (SOL), also have significant option expiries today. ETH has 1,029K options with a notional value of over $2.11 billion set to expire, while XRP has 35K options with a notional value of more than $48.15 million. SOL has 328K options with a notional value of over $282.46 million.
Analysts including veteran trader Peter Brandt are bearish on Bitcoin price, warning that the chart is setting up for a rising wedge sell signal. Rekt Capital predicted there are high odds of another dip into the 200-week EMA at $68,200, followed by a retest to see if BTC can solidify a reclaim of support.
