Robinhood Launches Contract to Predict Bitcoin Price in 2026

The Robinhood Derivatives LLC is offering a contract for predicting the price of Bitcoin on July 12, 2026 at 6pm EDT. This prediction market is part of the Crypto Prediction Market and is based on CF Benchmarks' Real Time Index (RTI). The contract resolves 24 hours a day, except Thursday from 3AM-5AM ET.

The outcome of this contract will determine the average price of 60 RTI prices collected at the last minute before expiration. This average price will be used as the official and final value for determining the outcome.

Participants can predict the price of Bitcoin and receive a payout of $1 for every contract they own if their prediction is correct, or close their position before the event resolves. However, trading prohibitions apply to persons who hold material non-public information on the underlying asset.