Robinhood Offers Contract to Predict BTC Price on July 16, 2026

The cryptocurrency market has turned its attention to the future of Bitcoin's price. According to Robinhood, a new contract has been made available for trading, which predicts the price of BTC on July 16, 2026 at 12am EDT.

The contract resolves the outcome of the trade by determining the average price of 60 Real Time Index (RTI) prices collected at the last minute before expiration. The official and final value is then used to settle the trade.

This contract comes with a payout, where traders can earn $1 for every contract they own if their prediction is correct. However, there are also additional fees that apply. It's worth noting that trading prohibitions exist for certain individuals, including those employed by Source Agencies and those holding material non-public information on the underlying asset.

The event contracts are offered by Robinhood Derivatives, LLC through either KalshiEX LLC, ForecastEX, LLC or Rothera Exchange and Clearing LLC. Traders should carefully consider whether futures, options on futures, and cleared swaps trading is suitable for them in light of their personal financial circumstances.