Gemini Predictions Review: Federally Regulated Event Contract Trading

Gemini Predictions is a prediction trading platform founded in December 2025. It operates on a federally regulated Designated Contract Market (DCM) overseen by the Commodity and Futures Trading Commission (CFTC), allowing eligible US states to buy and sell event contracts tied to real event outcomes.

The site offers a range of markets, including sports, economics, crypto, climate, and pop culture. Contracts are priced between $0 and $0.99 per contract, with correct predictions settling at $1 apiece and incorrect ones closing at $0.

Gemini Predictions has a transparent privacy policy and uses Know Your Customer (KYC) obligations, including photo ID and proof of address checks on all US users. The site is accessible from all 50 US states, with an 18+ minimum age requirement enforced.