Robinhood Launches BTC Price Prediction Market for July 2026

The cryptocurrency prediction market on Robinhood allows users to bet on the price of Bitcoin (BTC) on July 11, 2026 at 10pm EDT. The contract uses CF Benchmarks' Real Time Index (RTI) prices, collecting 60 RTI prices at the last minute before expiration and averaging them for the official final value.

Users can choose to close their position before the event resolves or hold until the outcome is determined, with a payout of $1 for every contract owned if the prediction is correct. However, persons employed by certain agencies or holding material non-public information on Bitcoin are prohibited from trading on the contract.