Robinhood Derivatives Launches BTC Price Prediction Contract

Robinhood Derivatives has introduced a new contract on its Crypto Prediction Market platform. The contract, which resolves on July 4, 2026 at 12am EDT, asks users to predict the price of Bitcoin at that time.

The outcome will be verified from CF Benchmarks' corresponding Real Time Index (RTI), which collects 60 prices in real-time and calculates an average value. This price data is considered more accurate than what's available on platforms like Google or Coinbase.

Users can purchase contracts with the expectation of winning $1 for every contract owned if their prediction matches the actual price. Alternatively, they can close their position before the event resolves, incurring additional fees.