Robinhood's Crypto Prediction Market Sets Stage for Bitcoin Price Guesswork

On July 13, 2026, at 5am EDT, the price of Bitcoin will be determined by Robinhood's Crypto Prediction Market. The market is open 24 hours a day, except for Thursday from 3AM-5AM ET. Traders can place their bets on what they think the price will be.

The contract resolves to determine the outcome of the trade and payout is usually within one hour of event resolution. Payouts are based on CF Benchmarks' Real Time Index (RTI) prices, which are collected at the last minute before expiration. The official and final value is the average of these 60 RTI prices.

Traders can get $1 for every contract they own if their prediction is correct or close their position before the event resolves. However, there are restrictions on who can trade on this contract, including persons employed by Source Agencies or those holding material non-public information on the Underlying.