XRP Breaks Above Key Line, But History Suggests Otherwise

XRP has been struggling against NVIDIA for years, and some analysts believe it could be on the verge of a major move if it breaks above a long-running comparison line.

However, BeInCrypto's analysis suggests that this may not be the case. The website rebuilt the XRP-to-NVIDIA comparison chart and found that since 2021, every time XRP broke above the resistance line, it marked the start of a sharp decline in price.

In fact, out of four breaks since 2021, none resulted in a rally, with XRP falling by a median of 39% over the next 12 weeks.

The analysis also looked at other assets, including Bitcoin and the S&P 500, and found that only NVIDIA and Bitcoin match the analyst's setup. But even among these two, the gap is stark: a break against the S&P 500 preceded a 35% gain, while a break against NVIDIA preceded a 39% drop.

One reason for this disparity may be on-chain data, which shows that around July 2025, XRP holders moved coins onto exchanges to sell into the strength. This suggests that there was not enough underlying demand to sustain a rally.