XRP's Price Returns to Crucial Level Linked to Past Cycle Lows

Crypto analyst ChartNerd has identified a repeating technical signal in XRP's price chart. The signal, which has appeared before in various market cycles, is associated with a return to the lower regression band of the Gaussian Channel on the two-week timeframe.

According to ChartNerd, this pattern has consistently repeated during prior cycles and has now emerged again in 2026. The price has returned home to the lower regression band at $1.04, which is close to key areas highlighted in previous periods.

The chart compares several market cycles dating back to 2014 and shows that every time XRP's price was pushed into the lower regression band by a bear market, it experienced a swift rebound. This move created cycle peaks in 2018 ($1.96) and 2021, as well as a 500% rally in late 2024.

ChartNerd warns investors not to focus solely on identifying the exact bottom but notes that more lower macro time period signals are appearing around areas matching previous historical cycle lows, making a potential bottom between now and Q4 increasingly worth watching.