Robinhood Launches ETH Price Prediction Market for July 4, 2026

The Robinhood crypto prediction market is offering a contract for the price of Ethereum (ETH) on July 4, 2026 at 7pm EDT. This contract uses CF Benchmarks' Real Time Index (RTI) to determine the final value.

According to the terms and conditions, the official and final value will be the average of 60 RTI prices collected at the last minute before expiration. If a trader's prediction is correct, they can earn $1 for every contract owned.

The contract prohibits certain individuals from trading, including those employed by source agencies or holding material non-public information on Ethereum. This event is restricted to eligible participants and carries significant risk.