Prediction Markets React to Prince Andrew Arrest and Epstein Files

Prince Andrew's arrest on February 19th has sent shockwaves through prediction markets, as they attempt to quantify the likelihood of additional arrests related to the Epstein disclosures. Polymarket contracts currently assign a 21% probability that someone will be jailed in connection with the Epstein disclosures, while assigning a 37% likelihood that someone will be charged over the newly released files.

The uncertainty surrounding these events has led to a surge in wagers across leading prediction platforms, including Polymarket and Kalshi. ZanoX, a new platform built on the Zano blockchain, offers privacy-focused betting options, allowing users to place binary wagers or enter prediction contracts tied to real-world developments without revealing their identities.

The markets operated by ZanoX include a range of individuals whose names appear in the recently disclosed Epstein files. While trading activity has been limited, the platform's unique feature allows users to conceal their bets, creating an intriguing dynamic where participants can align financial incentives with their expectations, whether those center on prosecution or exoneration.