Robinhood Sees BTC Price Action in 2026 Prediction Market

The Robinhood Crypto Prediction Market has created a contract for predicting the price of Bitcoin on July 5, 2026 at 10pm EDT. The market is based on CF Benchmarks' Real Time Index (RTI), which collects and averages 60 RTI prices just before expiration to determine the final value.

The contract allows users to predict whether the price will be higher or lower than a certain level, with payouts of $1 for every contract owned if the prediction is correct. Users can also choose to close their position before the event resolves, but additional fees apply.

It's worth noting that persons employed by Source Agencies are not permitted to trade on the Contract, and those holding material, non-public information on the Underlying (Bitcoin) are also prohibited from trading.