Bitcoin's Four-Year Cycle Remains Relevant: Scaramucci Predicts Price Rise

Anthony Scaramucci, managing partner of SkyBridge investment firm, recently shared his insights on Bitcoin's (BTC) current market situation and future price movements.

According to Scaramucci, the current bear market can be attributed to the four-year cycle theory, where long-term BTC holders sell their assets at the $100,000 psychological level. This is despite institutional investors and exchange-traded funds (ETFs) cushioning volatility, thus masking the traditional cycles.

Scaramucci believes that even though the market dynamics have altered, the four-year cycle still holds some significance. He points out that when people believe in a particular phenomenon, they often create a self-fulfilling prophecy.

The investment expert predicts that BTC will continue to experience choppy price action for most of 2026, but prices are expected to rise again in the fourth quarter, marking the beginning of a new bull market cycle. This forecast is in line with his previous expectations of BTC reaching $150,000 in 2025, driven by US President Donald Trump's pro-crypto agenda and regulatory developments.

Scaramucci emphasizes that markets often move counter to prevailing investor sentiment. He cites the early months of 2023 as an example, where despite a period of disinterest and apathy, the bull market started again following the collapse of FTX exchange in November 2022.