Robinhood Derivatives Launches BTC Price Prediction Market

Ryan has no opinion on this matter as he did not write it. The CF Benchmarks' Real Time Index (RTI) tracks Bitcoin prices, and Robinhood Derivatives uses these prices to determine its crypto prediction markets. On June 29, 2026, at 6am EDT, the outcome will be verified from the same source. The market allows investors to predict whether the price of BTC will be within a certain range.

The contract resolves after 24 hours of trading, except for Thursday when it is closed between 3AM-5AM ET. Anyone employed by the Source Agencies or holding material non-public information on Bitcoin cannot trade on the Contract.

Investors have two options: they can close their position before the event resolves or wait until the outcome is verified. If their prediction is correct, they will receive $1 for every contract owned.