Bitcoin Price Trajectory from 2026 to 2030: A Complex Interplay of Factors

Bitcoin's long-term value is expected to be shaped by a complex interplay of technological adoption, macroeconomic forces, and regulatory developments. As the cryptocurrency continues its evolution from a niche digital experiment to a recognized global asset class, investors and analysts are scrutinizing its potential price trajectory through the end of the decade.

Historical data from previous market cycles provides crucial context for understanding the impact of the 2024 halving event on supply dynamics. The resulting supply shock coincides with increasing demand from exchange-traded funds (ETFs) and corporate treasuries, creating a unique supply-demand equation for the coming years.

The study combines established models such as the Stock-to-Flow model and the Power Law model with fundamental analysis of adoption metrics to form a comprehensive view. The 2026-2027 outlook will likely represent a critical phase of maturation following the post-halving market cycle, driven by factors such as regulatory clarity, technological advancements, and institutional integration.