Iran's Parliament Speaker Shares 'Reverse Indicator' Theory on Social Media

The concept of 'reverse indicators' has gained attention in the global trading community after an unexpected voice shared his insights on social media.

Mohammad Bagher Ghalibaf, Iran's Parliament Speaker, posted on X that pre-market news or Truth Social posts can be a setup for profit-taking. He suggested doing the opposite of what is said in such posts to make profitable trades.

The speaker pointed out that Trump's Truth Social posts have been a reliable signal for market movements. When he announces 'great progress' in discussions with Iran, markets tend to rise. Conversely, when Iran rejects US proposals and reaffirms the closure of the Strait of Hormuz, markets fall.

This pattern has been observed multiple times during the conflict. Last week, Trump claimed that the US and Iran were in 'VERY GOOD AND PRODUCTIVE CONVERSATIONS' on Truth Social, leading to a rise in US equities and a decline in oil prices.

However, this week's situation is more complex. With Trump extending his deadline for the Strait of Hormuz until April 6, the market remains uncertain about what to expect. A ceasefire without the Strait reopening would be a mixed signal for crypto markets, removing headline risk but keeping inflation expectations sticky.