Robinhood Launches BTC Price Prediction Market for July 2026

The Robinhood crypto derivatives platform is offering a prediction market on the price of Bitcoin (BTC) on July 10, 2026 at 9pm EDT. The contract will use CF Benchmarks' corresponding Real Time Index (RTI) to determine the final price.

According to the terms and conditions, the official and final value is the average of 60 RTI prices collected in the last minute before expiration. This means that the price used for settlement will be based on a snapshot of the market at 9pm EDT on July 10, 2026.

Participants can buy or sell contracts with a payout of $1 for every contract they own if their prediction is correct. However, there are restrictions and eligibility requirements in place, including prohibitions on trading for persons employed by certain agencies or holding material non-public information on the underlying asset.

Futures and options trading involves significant risk and may not be suitable for everyone. The event contracts are offered by Robinhood Derivatives, LLC through various exchanges.